Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.001530 0.001705 0.001882 0.002074 0.002274 0.002478 0.002699
2025-01-12 0.001302 0.001558 0.001825 0.002122 0.002441 0.002771 0.003139
2025-01-19 0.001049 0.001357 0.001689 0.002068 0.002486 0.002927 0.003427
2025-01-26 0.000868 0.001216 0.001603 0.002058 0.002568 0.003118 0.003747
2025-02-02 0.000716 0.001092 0.001525 0.002046 0.002642 0.003294 0.004050
2025-02-09 0.000645 0.001055 0.001541 0.002137 0.002829 0.003593 0.004488
2025-02-16 0.000543 0.000969 0.001491 0.002146 0.002918 0.003780 0.004798
2025-02-23 0.000418 0.000839 0.001379 0.002072 0.002906 0.003848 0.004972
2025-03-02 0.000317 0.000728 0.001280 0.002008 0.002898 0.003917 0.005143
2025-03-09 0.000236 0.000635 0.001195 0.001955 0.002900 0.003993 0.005318
2025-03-16 0.000179 0.000565 0.001137 0.001931 0.002932 0.004101 0.005529
2025-03-23 0.000150 0.000540 0.001136 0.001978 0.003049 0.004309 0.005854
2025-03-30 0.000107 0.000490 0.001113 0.002017 0.003186 0.004572 0.006283
2025-04-06 0.000074 0.000448 0.001100 0.002070 0.003342 0.004863 0.006753
2025-04-13 0.000033 0.000365 0.001015 0.002021 0.003368 0.005000 0.007043
2025-04-20 0.000011 0.000307 0.000962 0.002014 0.003445 0.005197 0.007406
2025-04-27 0.000001 0.000255 0.000911 0.002003 0.003517 0.005388 0.007761
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000244 0.000930 0.002095 0.003723 0.005743 0.008314
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000207 0.000895 0.002105 0.003818 0.005962 0.008703
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000151 0.000811 0.002032 0.003800 0.006037 0.008917
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000107 0.000736 0.001969 0.003791 0.006120 0.009139
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000072 0.000672 0.001917 0.003793 0.006215 0.009373
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000050 0.000628 0.001893 0.003832 0.006355 0.009661